You are the 5%

You’re at the final part of this VERY brief series on the bell curve… And you know what the scariest thing is? You now probably know more than … Read more

95% are wrong

Wrong

Right, enough theory (read the previous parts of this series on the Bell Curve one, two, three)… Time for the practical stuff. Spoke with a pal who manages … Read more

Extreme risk

Risk

Had a proper row with a financial advisor yesterday. He’s telling his clients that market crashes are “unpredictable” and “nobody could have seen 2008 coming.” I nearly choked … Read more

I lied yesterday

Not a bell curve

Alright, confession time. Yesterday I told you markets follow the bell curve. That was… not entirely accurate. Actually, it was bollocks. But I had to start somewhere. Here’s … Read more

How to get lucky in markets

I’ve always been fascinated by the role that beliefs play in market returns. The belief in things getting better, things getting worse, why the winners win, why the … Read more